Accra, Ghana

Cooling access gaps by risk profile

Chilling Prospects tracks global cooling access gaps among 77 countries, including 54 high-impact and 23 non-high-impact countries. It disaggregates between populations at high risk due to a lack of access to cooling, those at medium risk, and those at low risk. (see: Risk profile criteria)

Impact of revised poverty data

Updated data on global poverty, with newly available surveys and a revision of the international poverty line from USD 1.90 to USD 2.15 per day, resulted in a downward revision of the middle-income group compared to the Chilling Prospects 2022 analysis, reflecting a downward adjustment in extreme poverty estimates in the 77 countries compared to previous SEforALL analysis and an upward revision of the lower-middle income group.

Notes and references

High-impact countries

High-impact countries are those expected to experience sustained high temperatures, which also have significant populations at high risk from a lack of access to cooling due to poverty and electricity access gaps.

Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Bangladesh, Benin, Bolivia, Brazil, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cameroon, Chad, China, Congo, Rep., Cote d'Ivoire, Djibouti, Dominican Republic, Egypt, Eritrea, Eswatini, Gambia, The; Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, India, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Lao PDR, Liberia, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Morocco, Mozambique, Myanmar, Namibia, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Senegal, Somalia, South Sudan, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Togo, Uganda, Vietnam, Yemen

Non-high-impact countries

The 23 countries with high-temperature regions: Afghanistan, Belize, Bhutan, Central African Republic, Colombia, Ecuador, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Georgia, Guatemala, Honduras, Jordan, Kenya, Lebanon, Mexico, Nepal, Sierra Leone, West Bank and Gaza, Syrian Arab Republic, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Venezuela RB

Risk profile criteria

High risk
No access to electricity​​​
Income below poverty line
Poor ventilation and construction
No access to refrigerated food
Farmers lack access to cold chains
Vaccines exposed to high temperatures

Medium risk
Access to electricity
Lower income levels
Ability to run a fan, buildings constructed to older standards
Food is refrigerated
Farmers only have access to intermittently reliable cold chains
Vaccines may have exposure to occasional high temperatures

Low risk
Full and reliable electricity
Middle income and higher
Well-built homes can include insulation, passive design, air conditioning
Food is refrigerated reliably
Farmers' goods and vaccines have well-controlled cold chains